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Your fall 2023 weather outlook

According to climate prediction outlooks released by NOAA this week, San Antonio’s fall will be temperate and rainy.


We’re ready for fall feeling nights.

Photo by Frederick Gonzales

It’s about time.

The weather in San Antonio is finally maintaining a temperature below the triple digits. Hey, the low 90° is something we can celebrate.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) recently released its newest seasonal climate outlook — here’s what the next three months may look like in the Alamo City.

Screenshot 2023-09-26 at 1.55.50 PM.png

San Antonio and Central Texas is predicted to see above normal temperatures during the fall.

Graphic via NOAA

Probability for a warmer, wetter fall

The NOAA forecasts slightly higher chances — between 33% and 40% — of warmer temperatures this October, November, and December.

During that time frame, the researchers also predict higher precipitation than average.

The much-needed rain may help combat the drought still plaguing Central Texas. As of most recent data, most of Bexar County was under Stage 2 water restrictions. NOAA predicts the drought will remain, but improve, by the end of December.

As a refresher, here’s what fall months typically look like in San Antonio:

Screenshot 2023-09-26 at 2.04.57 PM.png

San Antonio could see above normal rain chances. A win is a win.

Graphic via NOAA

An early look at winter

Although it is subject to change, NOAA also released predictions for the winter months. Researchers forecast mostly average temperatures through February, with higher-than-average precipitation.

Recovering from the hottest summer in history

This summer was the hottest on record in San Antonio, with:

  • An average temperature of 88.7º at the San Antonio International Airport
  • August was San Antonio’s hottest month on record.

We hope we’re not jinxing it, but it looks like we may be done with the 100º days until 2024.

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